A matter of interpretation
Lots of yakking about the results of this here poll. The poll asks this question:
If George W. Bush runs for re-election in 2004, in general are you more likely to vote for Bush or for the Democractic Party’s candidate for president? (sic)
And 47% say: Yup.
The usual suspects line up to say it spells doom for the Bush administration, here, here and here.
But here’s the deal, 47% will vote for him over anybody else. There’s no mention of specific Democrats or anything. Bush right now has 47% who will vote for him no matter what. So, he’s only got to campaign for the 4%.
In fact, if you look at this poll, Bush beats all of the Democratic candidates.