Let’s see. 5.7 million population, say 80% are old enough and legal to get a CHP, that’s about 4.6 million. 100,000 divided by 4.6 million is a little over 2% of the Eligible Potential CHP Holders.
Every time I do the Math on those States that have “Shall Issue” or Constitutional Carry, I seem to keep coming up with about 3% of those who COULD Legally Carry Concealed versus the State Population.
But let’s expand this to the total U.S. Population of 313 Million. Use 80% Legally Eligible, you get 250 million or so. Multiply by 3%, you get over 7.5 Million CHP holders scattered across the U.S. TODAY.
Which is Great, but I wish the Numbers were in the 50-60% range. But hey, it beats the snot out of the numbers back in the Mid-80’s.
But could you imagine the stroke Mickey Bloomberg would have if just 3% of NYC were allowed to use their Constitutional RKBA? 3% of 8 million would be 240,000 CHP Holders scattered across 5 Boroughs.
It may only be 2%, but look at the time involved. That’s 2% in 6 months. Granted, the rate of applications is declining. If we assumed that half as many applications are processed in the second half of the year as in the first half, that’s 3% of the eligible population within the first year.
That’s certainly nothing to despair over – and as the rate of carry increases, and concealed carry normalizes, you can bet it’ll go up even more!
I usually only talk guns with my family, so as to not advertise (so I don’t know which friends have jumped on board). But, in my family, I and my dad each bought our first gun 3 years ago. Two of my cousins bought their first guns at the same time, and my Mom got her first gun last week. I can’t imagine that we are so unique.
April 20th, 2012 at 3:12 pm
Let’s see. 5.7 million population, say 80% are old enough and legal to get a CHP, that’s about 4.6 million. 100,000 divided by 4.6 million is a little over 2% of the Eligible Potential CHP Holders.
Every time I do the Math on those States that have “Shall Issue” or Constitutional Carry, I seem to keep coming up with about 3% of those who COULD Legally Carry Concealed versus the State Population.
But let’s expand this to the total U.S. Population of 313 Million. Use 80% Legally Eligible, you get 250 million or so. Multiply by 3%, you get over 7.5 Million CHP holders scattered across the U.S. TODAY.
Which is Great, but I wish the Numbers were in the 50-60% range. But hey, it beats the snot out of the numbers back in the Mid-80’s.
But could you imagine the stroke Mickey Bloomberg would have if just 3% of NYC were allowed to use their Constitutional RKBA? 3% of 8 million would be 240,000 CHP Holders scattered across 5 Boroughs.
Someday, someday….
April 20th, 2012 at 8:11 pm
Declined my ass… 🙂
April 21st, 2012 at 7:55 pm
Les,
It may only be 2%, but look at the time involved. That’s 2% in 6 months. Granted, the rate of applications is declining. If we assumed that half as many applications are processed in the second half of the year as in the first half, that’s 3% of the eligible population within the first year.
That’s certainly nothing to despair over – and as the rate of carry increases, and concealed carry normalizes, you can bet it’ll go up even more!
April 22nd, 2012 at 4:18 am
I usually only talk guns with my family, so as to not advertise (so I don’t know which friends have jumped on board). But, in my family, I and my dad each bought our first gun 3 years ago. Two of my cousins bought their first guns at the same time, and my Mom got her first gun last week. I can’t imagine that we are so unique.